![]() Back in Cali too, where Homa loves to play. When I was looking at guys in this range, he’s in the best form with the best course history. Homa is another guy who just does everything well at this course, but he has exceptional course history. It’s a big boy tournament and I think he’s one of the big boys. Nothing he can’t do well at this course, he’s playing good golf and has a solid course history. Jumping on Spieth 40-1, Shane Lowry 100-1, and James Hahn 320-1 now but I'll add my final picks tomorrow most likely. SG: Approach, focus on 150-175 yards and 175-200 yards Players need to have a good all-around skillset to succeed at this course so we want to avoid players with glaring weaknesses as they will likely struggle here, especially if they are not familiar with the course. Lastly, historical stats show this event lends itself to good tee-to-green players, especially with the short game being important. Given that those holes account for 1/3rd of the scoring I think we need to make sure we’re targeting players who can take advantage or at the very least not falter on those holes. ![]() On that same point I’ll be looking at players who play 450-500 yard par 4s well. Last year especially we saw bombers dominate the leaderboard so we can look for a similar formula this time around. I do, however, believe distance off the tee can give players a meaningful advantage. If I’m stuck between 2 players, I’ll lean towards the guy who is going to hit more fairways. For me I’m going to use driving accuracy as a differentiator not a pre-requisite. Looking at past results we see a number of players who drive the ball far but not necessarily accurate. Now, while I do believe hitting fairways is an advantage here, I don’t believe the rough penalizes you quite as much as others may lead you to believe. Next, we look at the fact that players hit fairways here well below tour average. For this course those yardages are 150-175 yards and 175-200 yards, with the former being a bit more prominent here. In a similar regard, since the GIR numbers here are well below tour average, we want to identify the key approach shot yardages and target players who excel at those ranges. This isn’t to say that first time players here can’t navigate these greens, but the advantage here lies with the players who are most familiar with them and know the nuances. No one knows tricky green complexes better than players who have played on them a bunch of times before. Now, we don’t want to look at Short Game by itself, we want to combine that with course history. This points to short game being very important here, and the historical stats support that. The first thing we’ll dive into is the tricky green complexes here combined with the well below tour average GIR numbers. We can expect a winning score in the neighborhood of 14 under although players went lower than usual last year so something to keep an eye on. The Riviera Country Club is a par 71 that will play to around 7,322 yards and is known for it’s challenging green complexes and Kikuyu rough that players struggle with. Players now head to Riviera for the final event of the west coast swing, the Genesis Invitational and for the second straight event we have a pretty loaded field. We're on the board with our first winner of 2023! Congrats to everyone who hit that Scheffler outright and a quick shoutout to whoever mentioned the Rahm top continental euro bet, great value call there! Gambler's Anonymous Contact Information./r/sportscontests - Paid and free sports contests./r/sportsbookreview - Review the books you use.Up to $1000 first wager match Click for Promo Up to $250 or $500 risk-free first bet with bonus cash back Click for Promo Place a first-time wager of up to $1250, get it back in the form of a Free Bet if you lose. Selling of picks is not allowed here and will be removed by the moderators.Ĭlick here to join our Discord chat Desktop, iOS, and Android apps available! SportsbookĢnd Chance Free Bet Up to $500 Click for Promo Please try to keep all discussions under the daily threads. If you want to discuss your individual parlay/bet, individual games or props then /r/sportsbookextra is what you are looking for.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |